Unemployment rate, July 2026
BLS Employment Situation, released 7 August 2026.Job Market Statistics: September 2026
The latest official US job market numbers, translated for people who are looking. Unemployment and payrolls are from the July 2026 Employment Situation, released August 7. Openings, hires, and quits are from the July 2026 JOLTS release, published September 1. HiringReach did not invent any of these figures.
Unemployment is calm. The queue is not.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that both nonfarm payroll employment (down 23,000) and the unemployment rate (4.1 percent) changed little in July. The number of unemployed people was 6.9 million. Those are not recession headlines. They also are not a market that is absorbing people who need a job.
Look one layer down. Long-term unemployment, people jobless for 27 weeks or more, edged down to 1.8 million and still accounted for 25.5 percent of all unemployed people. Permanent job losers were little changed at 1.7 million. People on temporary layoff rose by 153,000 to 921,000. People working part time for economic reasons were little changed at 4.8 million.
The labor force itself is the quieter story. The participation rate was 61.4 percent in July, down 0.7 percentage point since January. The employment-population ratio was 58.9 percent. A falling unemployment rate driven by people leaving the labor force is not the same as a rising chance of getting hired.
Unemployed people
Changed little over the month and over the year.Share of unemployed who have been jobless 27 weeks or more
1.8 million people. BLS table A-12 language in the July release.Labor force participation rate
Down 0.7 percentage point since January 2026.Part time for economic reasons
Wanted full-time work and could not get it, or had hours cut.Discouraged workers
Wanted a job, were available, and believed no jobs were available for them.Payrolls slipped, then the revisions took more off.
Total nonfarm payroll employment changed little in July, down 23,000, after an average monthly gain of 34,000 over the prior 12 months. Local government education fell 50,000. Retail trade lost 19,000. Health care kept adding jobs, up 22,000, but slower than its 36,000 average over the prior 12 months. Financial activities continued to trend down, minus 14,000 in July, and is down 121,000 since a recent peak in May 2025.
The revisions matter as much as the print. May was revised down by 66,000, from plus 129,000 to plus 63,000. June was revised down by 37,000, from plus 57,000 to plus 20,000. Combined, May and June employment is 103,000 lower than previously reported.
Average hourly earnings for all private nonfarm employees were $37.62 in July, up 2 cents on the month and 3.2 percent over the year. The average workweek stayed at 34.3 hours. The August 2026 Employment Situation is scheduled for Friday, September 4, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern.
July nonfarm payroll change
BLS: "changed little." Local government education and retail trade declined.Combined May and June revision
May down 66,000. June down 37,000. From the July Employment Situation.Average hourly earnings, private
Up 3.2 percent over the year. Production and nonsupervisory: $32.40.Openings are still there. Hires are the weak print.
On September 1, 2026 the Bureau of Labor Statistics published JOLTS for July. Job openings were little changed at 7.3 million, a 4.4 percent openings rate. Hires were little changed at 5.1 million, a 3.2 percent hires rate. Total separations were also 5.1 million. Inside that, quits were 3.1 million (1.9 percent) and layoffs and discharges were 1.7 million (1.0 percent).
That combination is the job seeker's market in one paragraph. Employers are still posting seats. They are not filling them at a matching pace, and they are not dumping people onto the market either. If you already have a job, this can feel stable. If you need one, the door opens less often than the posting count implies.
HiringReach calculated about 1.06 job openings per unemployed person from the July openings count of 7.3 million and the July unemployed count of 6.9 million. That ratio is a sketch, not a BLS official statistic. The two series come from different surveys, collected on different calendars.
June was revised down too. Job openings for June were revised down by 177,000 to 7.2 million. The August JOLTS release is scheduled for September 29, 2026.
Job openings, July 2026
Rate 4.4%. Increased in durable goods manufacturing (plus 76,000).Hires
Rate 3.2%. Decreased in professional and business services (minus 188,000).Quits
Rate 1.9%. A measure of whether people believe they can leave.Layoffs and discharges
Rate 1.0%. Decreased in finance and insurance (minus 22,000).Other separations
Retirement, death, disability, and transfers. Essentially unchanged.Openings per unemployed person
HiringReach calculation from BLS July openings and unemployed counts. Not an official BLS ratio.Offer expectations are the worst in five years.
The official surveys tell you what employers did. The New York Fed's SCE Labor Market Survey asks people what they expect. In the July 2026 survey, the average expected likelihood of receiving at least one job offer in the next four months fell 1.1 percentage points to 18.0 percent, the lowest reading since March 2021. The drop was largest for people without a college degree, people younger than 45, and women.
More people are looking anyway. The share who reported searching for a job in the past four weeks rebounded to 24.9 percent from 22.5 percent in March 2026, with the increase largest among people earning less than $60,000 a year. The average reservation wage, the lowest pay respondents would accept for a new job, reached a series high of $88,387.
If you want the narrative version of these numbers, read why the job market feels bad right now. This page stays on the monthly file.
Expected chance of at least one job offer in the next four months
New York Fed SCE Labor Market Survey, July 2026. Lowest since March 2021.Share who searched for a job in the past four weeks
Up from 22.5 percent in March 2026.Average reservation wage
Series high in the July 2026 SCE Labor Market Survey.When hires lag openings, the bottleneck is a person.
A 4.4 percent openings rate with a 3.2 percent hires rate is a market where listings exist and conversion is slow. Applying into that gap is still worth doing when a role requires it. It is a weak only move. The decision still sits with a hiring manager.
HiringReach is job search software for organizing the contacts you research, drafting individual outreach, and tracking follow-ups beside the formal application. It is on a waitlist. It is not a job board, not a staffing agency, and it does not guarantee interviews. Contact discovery is coming later. You add the people you find.
Use the HiringReach method for the 90-day structure, the hidden job market playbook when nothing is posted, and how to find the hiring manager when something is.
Every number on this page has a publisher.
Checked 1 September 2026 against the live BLS news releases and the New York Fed SCE Labor Market Survey page. If a source cannot be fetched on a later refresh, the figure stays until it can.
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Situation, July 2026. Dated archive, released 7 August 2026. Unemployment 4.1 percent, 6.9 million unemployed, nonfarm payrolls minus 23,000, participation 61.4 percent, employment-population ratio 58.9 percent.
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Job Openings and Labor Turnover, July 2026. Dated archive, released 1 September 2026. Openings 7.3 million, hires 5.1 million, quits 3.1 million, layoffs and discharges 1.7 million.
- Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SCE Labor Market Survey, July 2026. Offer-arrival expectations 18.0 percent, job search 24.9 percent, reservation wage $88,387.
Job market statistics, answered
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